"Expertise, Artificial Intelligence, and the Work of the Future"
Dr. David Autor, MIT
Thursday, November 14, 2024
向日葵视频 the talk
Will recent advances in AI complement human expertise, thereby increasing its value, or render it increasingly unnecessary, thus reducing its value (even if jobs are not in net eliminated)? Autor will frame this question through the lens of three technological revolutions of the last two centuries: the Industrial Revolution, the Computer Revolution, and the AI Revolution. In each, the types of expertise rewarded changed substantially, with vastly uneven consequences for workers in different occupations and possessing different education levels. These forces will play out differently in the AI era than in preceding decades. While the future is not a forecasting exercise -- we are collectively creating it -- Autor will discuss the opportunities that AI opens for the labor market, as well as some of the risks it poses.
向日葵视频 the speaker
David Autor is the Daniel (1972) and Gail Rubinfeld Professor in the MIT Department of Economics, codirector of the NBER Labor Studies Program and the MIT Shaping the Future of Work Initiative. His scholarship explores the labor-market impacts of technological change and globalization on job polarization, skill demands, earnings levels and inequality, and electoral outcomes.
Autor has received numerous awards for both his scholarship鈥攖he National Science Foundation CAREER Award, an Alfred P. Sloan Foundation Fellowship, the Sherwin Rosen Prize for outstanding contributions to the field of Labor Economics, the Andrew Carnegie Fellowship in 2019, the Society for Progress Medal in 2021鈥攁nd for his teaching, including the MIT MacVicar Faculty Fellowship. In 2020, Autor received the Heinz 25th Special Recognition Award from the Heinz Family Foundation for his work 鈥渢ransforming our understanding of how globalization and technological change are impacting jobs and earning prospects for American workers.鈥 In 2023, Autor was selected as one of two researchers across all scientific fields a NOMIS Distinguished Scientist.
The Economist magazine labeled Autor in 2019 as 鈥淭he academic voice of the American worker.鈥 Later that same year, and with equal justification, he was christened 鈥淭werpy MIT Economist鈥 by John Oliver of Last Week Tonight in a segment on automation and employment.
The lecture series is named in honor of the late Theodore F. Marburg, a long-time member of the economics department. The goal of the Marburg Memorial Lecture is to provide a forum for the discussion of moral, philosophical and social dimensions of economic issues, as well as continue Professor Marburg鈥檚 commitment to the economic aspects of peace and justice. The Marburg Lecture is made possible by the generosity of the Marburg family and through the support of the Center for Applied Economics. The Marburg lecture is generally held in November of each year.
Previous Marburg Lectures
2023-2024 Dr. Marianne Bertrand, "Gender, Stereotypes and Inequality"
2022-2023 Dr. Rohini Pande, Henry J Heinz II Professor of Economics, Yale University When the Tide Turns: Poverty, Inequality, and Power鈥
2021-2022 Matthew O. Jackson, from Stanford University Department of Economics The Dynamics of Social Networks and Homophily: Implications for Inequality and Economic Mobility
2020-2021 Dr. Eric Rosengren, President, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Economic Fragility: Implications for Recovery From the Pandemic
2019-2020 - Dr. Esther Duflo, MIT Economics "Good Economics for Hard Times"
2018-2019 - Dr. Devin Pope, Booth School at the University of Chicago "Behavioral Economics in the Real World" Using primarily observational data, Pope studies how psychological biases play out in field settings and economic markets. Examples include left-digit bias and projection bias in car markets and time inconsistency in housing markets.
2017-2018 - Dr. Joshua Angrist, Ford Professor of Economics at MIT Dr. Angrist is also a director of MIT鈥檚 School Effectiveness and Inequality Initiative. His Marburg lecture focused on how empirical economics have evolved to answer important policy questions, how this evolution has increased the impact of economics on other disciplines, and how undergraduate economic instruction should change accordingly.
2016-2017 - Dr. Michael Greenstone, University of Chicago, "The Global Energy Challenge"
Greenstone discusses the global energy challenge that requires balancing the need for inexpensive and reliable energy, while limiting environmental and health damages and guarding against disruptive climate change.
2015-2016 - Dr. Emily Oster, Brown University, "Pregnancy, Causality and Economics" - Research on the value of health behaviors, once the lone purview of doctors and medical journals, is increasingly available to consumers from the Internet and media coverage. What is often missing is a serious look at whether the relationships in data are really causal ones. Does drinking a lot of coffee lengthen your life, as some studies suggest? Or is it just that the kind of people who drink a lot of coffee live longer for other reasons?
2014-2015 - Professor Edward Glaeser, Harvard University, "Triumph of the City" - Cities are often seen as the source of social problems such as poverty and crime, while we retain romantic notions of idyllic rural life. The truth is very different. In this lecture, Professor Edward Glaeser, the world鈥檚 leading expert in the economics of cities, will discuss why cities are crucial to economic development, why proximity has become ever more valuable as the cost of connecting across long distances has fallen and why, contrary to popular myths, dense urban areas are the true friends of the environment, not suburbia.
2013-2014 - Harvard University Professor of Economics Raj Chetty - Prof. Chetty is one of the authors of a groundbreaking new study on upward mobility in America. The study examined data from cities across the country, and found that the chances of poor children鈥檚 climbing the economic ladder were considerably higher in some places than others. Prof. Chetty鈥檚 research focuses on what he calls 鈥渆quality of opportunity: how can we give children from disadvantaged backgrounds better chances of succeeding鈥
2012-2013 - Prof. John A. List - Department of Economics, University of Chicago Using the world as his sandbox, Prof. List tells us why women get paid less than men, how we can shrink the racial achievement gap in one minute, and what seven words can end discrimination. Dr. List has been one of the pioneers in the development and use of field experiments in economics. A field experiment evaluates the market behavior of participants, but instead of these actions taking place in an artificial laboratory setting, the field experiment is conducted in the normal market setting for the participant.
2011-2012 - Dr. Ronald G. Ehrenberg An expert in the economics of higher education, Ehrenberg has served as a consultant to faculty and administrative groups and trustees at a number of colleges and universities on issues relating to tuition and financial aid policies and other budgetary and planning issues. In 2002, he wrote Tuition Rising, an examination of the American higher education system. While in Milwaukee, Dr. Ehrenberg also was interviewed by the Journal Sentinel on the topic of rising tuition.
2010-2011 - Dr. Robert Putnam Peter and Isabel Malkin Professor of Public Policy at Harvard University Dr. Putnam discussed American Grace: How Religion Divides and Unites Us. Professor Putnam and Professor Daniels, co-director of the CGES, were interviewed for the 向日葵视频Difference Network.
2009 - Professor Marianne Ferber Department of Economics University of Illinois, Urbana
2008 - Professor James P. Ziliak, Gatton Chair in Microeconomics Director, Center for Poverty Research University of Kentucky
2007 - Professor Solomon W. Polachek Departments of Economics and Political Science State University of New York at Binghamtom
2006 - Professor Jerry Evensky Department of Economics Maxwell School of Syracuse University
2005 - Mr. Chris Lowney Author & Special Assistant to President Catholic Medical Mission Board
2004 - Dr. Laurence Iannaccone, Professor Department of Economics George Mason University
2000 - Dr. Ransford W. Palmer, Professor Department of Economics Howard University
1998 - Dr. Herman E. Daly, Scholar in Residence University of Maryland School of Public Affair
1997 - Dr. Marilyn Moon, Senior Fellow Health Policy Center of the Urban Institute
1995 - Fr. William Byron, S.J., Director Center for the Advanced Study of Ethics Georgetown University